ACCORDING to data released by the Bureau of Meteorology on August 24, the long-range forecast for spring, from September to November, stipulates below median rainfall is likely to very likely (60 percent to greater than 80 percent chance) for most of Australia. A welcome relief after last year’s flood event.
From September to November, above median maximum temperatures are very likely (greater than 80 percent chance) for almost all of Australia however, including Victoria.
The long-range forecast is influenced by several factors, including likely El Niño development, potential positive Indian Ocean Dipole development, and record warm oceans globally.